In fact, the stats model - which takes into account squad quality, the difficulty of remaining fixtures and form among other metrics - has thrown up a shake-up in the likely top three for the first time since September.
A win for Barnsley over league leaders Sheffield Wednesday ended the Owls’ near six-month unbeaten run in the league and with Plymouth beating Acrrington Stanley, it was the Pilgrims that went top.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
Take a stroll through the very latest analytical predictions.
13. 12th - Lincoln City - 61 pts
Another side locked in the mid-table - a place they’ll be relatively satisfied with given their transition status - Lincoln were another side that had more than a glance at the top six for a while. The fact is they’ve drawn too many - the most in the EFL. Correct that and Mark Kennedy could look at building a promotion dart next season. | Getty Images
14. 11th - Shrewsbury Town - 62 pts
The Shrews have been excellent in 2023 and though things have tailed off just a little, Steve Cotterill has done a belting job. Another side that will want to keep things together over the summer with half an eye on a possible play-off tilt. | Getty Images
15. 10th - Charlton Athletic - 63 pts
A Dean Holden boost in fortunes didn’t prove to be enough to launch a late assault at the play-off plots but the work is being done towards next season, you feel. | Getty Images
16. 9th - Portsmouth - 71 pts
The first of the ‘outside chance’ play-off contenders. John Mousinho has got busy proving the nay-sayers wrong but he’s got his work cut out after a tricky Easter. There’s just a 2% chance of a top six finish, the numbers suggest. Photo: Jason Brown