In fact, the stats model - which takes into account squad quality, the difficulty of remaining fixtures and form among other metrics - has thrown up a shake-up in the likely top three for the first time since September.
A win for Barnsley over league leaders Sheffield Wednesday ended the Owls’ near six-month unbeaten run in the league and with Plymouth beating Acrrington Stanley, it was the Pilgrims that went top.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
Take a stroll through the very latest analytical predictions.
17. 8th - Wycombe Wanderers - 74 pts
Another close call with the play-offs is on the cards, it seems. Though they’ve done OK, the test was going to come when Gareth Ainsworth left the club and they haven’t been able to sustain the form guide he was building. A one-in-10 chance of play-off qualification won’t be the biggest odds they’ve beaten in recent years, mind. | Getty Images
18. 7th - Derby County - 76 pts
Not long ago seen as a real contender for the top two, such was their sustained form, Paul Warne’s lot have buckled a touch and are on-course for a 76 point finish. It has Derby to finish seventh, just missing out on play-off qualification. There’s a 35% shot at the top six, the numbers read - and an 8% of promotion back to the second tier. It’s all to play for. Photo: Mark Thompson
19. 6th - Peterborough United - 78 pts
The goals of Jonson Clarke-Harris (above) haven’t quite been enough to make good on Posh’s ambitions of an immediate automatic return to the second tier - but the play-off picture is in focus. A 6th place finish would be more than satisfying especially since the appointment of Darren Ferguson. Posh have a 70% chance of finishing top six and a 16% shot at winning the play-offs. Photo: Joe Dent
20. 5th - Bolton Wanderers - 80 pts
The best of the rest. Strong and uncompromising, Ian Evatt has built a side that is tough to beat and that has no little quality. Good form this year is very on-brand and though a shot at the automatics has dwindled to nil, there’s a 87% chance of making the play-offs. Promotion? 20% - or one-in-five. | Getty Images