In fact, the stats model - which takes into account squad quality, the difficulty of remaining fixtures and form among other metrics - has thrown up a shake-up in the likely top three for the first time since September.
A win for Barnsley over league leaders Sheffield Wednesday ended the Owls’ near six-month unbeaten run in the league and with Plymouth beating Acrrington Stanley, it was the Pilgrims that went top.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
Take a stroll through the very latest analytical predictions.

9. 16th - Cheltenham Town - 52 pts
An up-punching side that has shaken off the loss of influential manager Michael Duff pretty handily, the Robins have rallied after a new year form dip to take points off some of the big boys. They’re safe as houses and are forecast to finish above Burton on goal difference. | Getty Images

10. 15th - Fleetwood Town - 57 pts
At one time a real part of the relegation conversation, the Cod Army have rallied and continue to be a handful at this level. A wobble in fortunes won’t dampen spirits too much - Scott Brown has down a fine job on the west coast | Getty Images

11. 14th - Bristol Rovers - 58 pts
Another side that is all but safe, Joey Barton has set up his Rovers side to fight for every point. The stats model has them finishing on 58 of them, which will be an impressive haul on their return to League One. | Getty Images

12. 13th - Exeter City - 59 pts
The south coast newbies are another to have coped with the step up to the third tier pretty breezily. A cursory glance at the play-off places wasn’t entirely off the menu at one stage and given they lost their manager early doors, it’s been an impressive showing indeed. | Getty Images

