In fact, the stats model - which takes into account squad quality, the difficulty of remaining fixtures and form among other metrics - has thrown up a shake-up in the likely top three for the first time since September.
A win for Barnsley over league leaders Sheffield Wednesday ended the Owls’ near six-month unbeaten run in the league and with Plymouth beating Acrrington Stanley, it was the Pilgrims that went top.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
Take a stroll through the very latest analytical predictions.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
21. 4th - Barnsley - 89 pts
A wibble-wobble here and there makes things fascinating - though many are not ruling out a mad run to the automatics for Barnsley, for which they are given a 12% shot. Play-offs are all but in the bag and with them come an overall 40% chance of promotion. Finishing fourth on 89 points is daft. Photo: Bruce Rollinson
22. 3rd - Plymouth Argyle - 94 pts
This is where things get crazy, with three teams forecast to finish on 94 points. Plymouth, it is said, will be the team to miss out with a goal difference of 30. A shiver and a shake at this stage of the season is no stranger to Plymouth - though they appear stronger this time out. Defeat at home to Lincoln will be a worry mind.
23. 2nd - Sheffield Wednesday - 94 pts
Not long ago imperious and boasting an 81% of winning the league title, Wednesday’s three-week horror run of results dragged them right back into it and they’re down to finish second with a goal difference on 43. Those chances of winning the title has nosedived to 27% though there’s a 69% of promotion by any means.
24. 1st - Ipswich Town - 94 pts
A draw on Monday was the first half-blink of a wobble for several weeks - Ipswich are surely the favourites after a manic run of wins. The FiveThirtyEight model has them as title winners but only on goal difference - a whopping 53 - with 39% chance of lifting the trophy indicative of just how tight things are at the top.