In fact, the stats model - which takes into account squad quality, the difficulty of remaining fixtures and form among other metrics - has thrown up a shake-up in the likely top three for the first time since September.
A win for Barnsley over league leaders Sheffield Wednesday ended the Owls’ near six-month unbeaten run in the league and with Plymouth beating Acrrington Stanley, it was the Pilgrims that went top.
But what about the battle at the bottom, the play-off scrap? How many points are Wednesday forecast to hit now - less than before, presumably?
Take a stroll through the very latest analytical predictions.
5. 20th - MK Dons - 48 pts
It’s been a brutal season for MK Dons after the oh-so-close effort of last season, but they’re another side to have been battered by the exit of key figures. The analysts have them staying up but only just - with a 12% chance of relegation. Survive and it’ll be a case of a job well done for Jackson. | national world
6. 19th - Oxford United - 48 pts
Another vastly underachieving team, Oxford have traditionally been operating in the top half of the table previously but have struggled for form for too long and parted company with Karl Robinson, bringing in Liam Manning. He’s shored things up and returned four draws from four matches. You’d think he’ll keep them up and there’s a 86% chance he will do exactly that. Photo: Catherine Ivill
7. 18th - Port Vale - 50 pts
Lead by the goals and effort of Ellis Harrison (above), Port Vale have done well and have not flirted with the bottom four since jumping up a level. But there’ll be disappointment at their having dropped like a stone in recent months - at one stage they might have fancied a tilt at the top half. Photo: Morgan Harlow
8. 17th - Burton Albion - 52 pts
The Brewers seemed to be struggling early in the season but taking over from Jimmy Floyd-Hasselbaink, Dino Maamria has done a tremendous job to galvanise and take them towards a safety haul. There’s a 94% chance of beating the drop, the numbers suggest. | Getty Images