Sheffield United’s weekend defeat at Blackburn Rovers, coupled with Middlesbrough’s 5-0 tousing of Reading, saw the Blades’ lead over Michael Carrick’s men cut to just four points, with Boro’s goal difference receiving a boost in the process.
United can reestablish their seven-point lead if they beat Reading away on Tuesday evening, in their game in hand over Boro.
With 12 games of the regular season remaining – or 11 for Boro – there will be plenty more twists and turns to come, for sure, in a division as competitive as it is unpredictable.
And the data boffins at FiveThirtyEight have applied their detailed statistical model to the Championship in a bid to determine how the final table will look come May, giving each side a percentage chance of relegation or promotion.
Here's how, in reverse order, they believe the Championship table will finish – with the change in a side’s fortunes from the previous gameweek also indicated. But will it play out that way?
13. 13th Stoke City
60 points. Play off chances: 2%. Last gameweek chances: Photo: Nathan Stirk
14. 12th Preston North End
61 points. Play offs: 1%. Last gameweek chances: 1% Photo: Bryn Lennon
15. 11th Sunderland
63 points. Play offs: 5%. Last gameweek chances: 14%. Photo: Tony Marshall
16. 10th Watford
68 points. Play offs: 20%. Last gameweek chances: 29% Photo: Ryan Hiscott