New poll predicts half Sheffield MPs would lose seats to Reform and Greens if election was now
New poll predicts results if election was held now
Sheffield would lose nearly half its Labour MPs if the General Election was held now, according to a new poll.
The survey, by More in Common, found three of Sheffield’s six Labour MPs would be kicked out of the House of Commons.
Two of them would lose their seats to Reform UK, and one to the Greens, the research suggested.
The poll stated that Stocksbridge and Penistone, and Sheffield South East, would both fall to Reform, while Sheffield Central would be taken by the Green Party.
Meanwhile, it shows Labour and the Greens would be at level pegging in Heeley.
Labour would still lead in Hallam, and in Brightside and Hillsborough.
At present, Sheffield’s six MPs are Abtisam Mohamed (Sheffield Central), Clive Betts (Sheffield South East), Gill Furniss (Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough), Louise Haigh (Sheffield Heeley), Marie Tidball (Penistone and Stocksbridge), and Olivia Blake (Sheffield Hallam).
The MRP (Multilevel Regression with Post-stratification) poll was based on voting intention data from more than 15,000 Britons.
It projected that, overall, Reform would win 324 seats at a general election - putting NigelFarage's party far ahead of Labour (101 seats), the Tories (81), Liberal Democrats (62), SNP (26) and Greens (22).
However, Reform's projected tally of seats is one short of a majority in the Commons and 57 seats fewer than in More in Common's previous model in January.
Luke Tryl, UK director of More in Common, warned there 'doesn't appear to be anything such as a safe seat' for Labour.
He said: “Labour may breathe a sigh of relief they are back above 100 seats in this latest projection, while Reform have slipped back and would now just sit on the cusp of a majority.
“But if anything what this latest model shows is that Labour, in a mirror of what faced the Tories in 2024, now faces a very real war on two fronts.
“Losing 100s of seats to Reform, while at the same time being threatened by Polanski's Greens in their former urban strongholds.”
Mr Tryl added: “For the Tories this is the second of our MRPs in a row where their seat total has climbed back, though they would still be heading for well under 100 seats.
“Meanwhile Reform remain well over 200 seats clear of their closest challenger and the only party that could viably form a Government.”