Robbed of their best players and their manager after a historic promotion from League Two, Forest Green have failed to catch-up and look doomed. The arrival of Duncan Ferguson and some promising Premier League youngsters in January hasn’t sparked a major upturn and the stats model has more than a 99% chance of relegation.. that’s despite a spiriting win over Sheffield Wednesday last month.placeholder image
Robbed of their best players and their manager after a historic promotion from League Two, Forest Green have failed to catch-up and look doomed. The arrival of Duncan Ferguson and some promising Premier League youngsters in January hasn’t sparked a major upturn and the stats model has more than a 99% chance of relegation.. that’s despite a spiriting win over Sheffield Wednesday last month.

Three-way tie in tightest League One points prediction yet - Changes for Sheffield Wednesday, Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle

If Good Friday sharpened the focus of the League One title race, Easter Monday tore it all away as Sheffield Wednesday were the only one of the three hottest title challengers to take all three points.

It’s going to be a fascinating run-in to the title, with Barnsley more than hanging on in there to make a four-way battle at the top.

But what of the fights and scraps elsewhere? How makes up the play-off spots and who survives at the bottom?

With predicted placings, points totals and an indication of the chances of survival, our data expert friends at FiveThirtyEight have crunched the numbers to come up with the goods.

In what is the tightest table yet, here’s how they think things will fall come May 7.

News you can trust since 1887
Follow us
© 2026 Iconic Media Group Ltd. All rights reserved.Cookie SettingsTerms and ConditionsPrivacy notice