Sheffield Wednesday are the team with the power when it comes to the League One title stakes - top of the table with games in hand on their closest rivals.
But injuries have crept back in and they have a very difficult battle with Barnsley to contend with on Tuesday. With the Tykes one of several sides to have shown excellent form in recent weeks, absolutely nothing is guaranteed.
So who will go up? What about the play-offs? Who looks most likely for relegation?
The number crunchers and statistics experts at FiveThirtyEight have taken into account the quality of each squad, form guides and remaining fixtures to draw up their recmmendations on who will finish where on what number of points.
And it’s tight in several areas of the table - with a handful of spots separated by goal difference.
1. 24th - Forest Green Rovers - 30 pts
Robbed of their best players and their manager after a historic promotion from League Two, Forest Green have failed to catch-up and look doomed. The arrival of Duncan Ferguson and some promising Premier League youngsters in January hasn’t sparked a major upturn and the stats model has more than a 99% chance of relegation.. that’s despite a spiriting win over Sheffield Wednesday last month. Photo: Dan Istitene
2. 23rd - Morecambe - 38 pts
Fun fact: Morecambe have never been relegated in their entire history.. seriously. But as per the numbers, they’ll taste the drop for the first time - with a more than 99% as per their most recent form scramble. They’re a plucky team capable of scrapping their way out of trouble but it feels all too late for Derek Adams’ side. Photo: Charlotte Tattersall
3. 22nd - Accrington Stanley - 43 pts
They’ve punched above their weight for a few years now - is this the season they take the hit of relegation to League Two? FiveThirtyEight certainly think so, rating just a 13% chance of safety from relegation. A win over Port Vale last week lifted spirits but they were unable to take anything from Hillsborough to send their numbers southwards once more.
4. 21st - Cambridge United - 43 pts
After a very promising season at third tier level last time out, Cambridge have faltered after a strong start to the campaign. They may well look back on Rotherham’s approach of manager Mark Bonner as a turning point - and FiveThirtyEight have a four-in-five chance of the Us to go down. Photo: Julian Finney