Sheffield United are well-placed in their bid to return to the Premier League, strengthening their grip on second place with a 1-0 victory over bottom club Huddersfield Town at the weekend as the Championship resumed after a four-week break for the World Cup.
But there will be plenty more twists and turns to come in a division as competitive as it is unpredictable and data boffins at FiveThirtyEight have applied their detailed statistical model to the Championship in a bid to determine how the final table will look come May, giving each side a percentage chance of relegation or promotion.
Here's how, in reverse order, they believe the Championship table will finish come the end of the season … but will it play out that way?
21. 5th Middlesbrough (play-offs)
69 points. Play offs: 31%. Promoted: 17%. Win title: 2% Photo: George Wood
22. 4th Watford (play-offs)
72 points. Play offs: 39%. Promoted: 23%. Win league: 5% Photo: Ryan Hiscott
23. 3rd Norwich City (play-offs)
74 points. Play offs: 42%. Promoted: 30%. Win league: 8% Photo: Stephen Pond
24. 2nd Sheffield United (automatic promotion)
83 points. Play offs: 32%. Promoted: 65%. Win league: 33% Photo: Morgan Harlow