Gallery: Data experts predict Sheffield United, Burnley, Norwich promotion race as Middlesbrough, Millwall finish strongly

As we near the halfway point of the Championship season, it’s a good chance to take stock of the first 22 games of the current season and assess the runners and riders for promotion and survival.

Sheffield United are well-placed in their bid to return to the Premier League, strengthening their grip on second place with a 1-0 victory over bottom club Huddersfield Town at the weekend as the Championship resumed after a four-week break for the World Cup.

But there will be plenty more twists and turns to come in a division as competitive as it is unpredictable and data boffins at FiveThirtyEight have applied their detailed statistical model to the Championship in a bid to determine how the final table will look come May, giving each side a percentage chance of relegation or promotion.

Here's how, in reverse order, they believe the Championship table will finish come the end of the season … but will it play out that way?

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