Euro 2020: Betting preview and selections as group stage concludes
Today is the final day of the group stage and the full picture of the knockout stages takes shape.
At 5pm, the third and final games of Group E sees Sweden take on Poland in the St. Petersburg Stadium with Slovakia versus Spain on La Roja’s home patch in Seville.
‘The Group of Death’ then follows at 8pm with Germany playing Hungary in Munich followed by Portugal battling it out with France at the Puskas Arena in Budapest for passage through to the next round.
Germany delivered one of the results of the tournament so far as they blew away Portugal in Munich. They’ll be hoping for a similar performance against Hungary who will be playing their first game away from Budapest.
The Germans are 1/6 to win with Hungary 14/1 showing the gap of quality between the two sides. Serge Gnabry is bookies’ favourite to score anytime at 5/6 with Kai Havertz also likely to continue his good form at evens. Rolland Sallai will be well known to German fans after three years in the Bundesliga with Freiburg and he’s 11/2 to find the net in the 90 minutes. Germany are 5/6 to win the group and will be hoping Portugal can draw with France to give them that chance.
French manager Didier Deschamps was questioned about his conservative style after he couldn’t find a way past an aggressive Hungary side. Portugal took the initiative against Germany with a superb counter-attacking goal finished off by Cristiano Ronaldo but this was as good as it got as the Germans overloaded them in wide areas scoring four goals.
A narrow defeat might do for Portugal to qualify for the last 16 as they’d be a part of the best third placed sides. France could make personnel changes but are still 5/4 to win over Portugal at 14/5. A draw that would suit both sides is 19/10. Ronaldo is 8/5 to score anytime with Kylian Mbappe the same odds to get his first goal of the tournament. Olivier Giroud might come into the side after Karim Benzema failed to find the net in his opening two games. Giroud is a favourite of Deschamps and started in every game bar one in their 2018 World Cup triumph and is 11/5 if he does get the nod.
In Group E, Sweden on four points already have their place confirmed in the knockouts. Alexander Isak has impressed in the Swede’s opening two games and despite not scoring has displayed his excellent dribbling and awareness in tight spaces.
Poland were fortunate against Spain and had to rely on Gerard Moreno missing a penalty followed by their goalkeeper Wojciech Szczesny pulling off an excellent save to stop Alvaro Morata. However, that point might give them the assurance they need to beat Sweden and potentially win the group.
Poland edge the game with the bookies’ odds at 6/4 but have to win to qualify for the next round with Sweden at 19/10. Sweden are yet to score from open play and have the third least amount of shots in the Euros so far. Poland rely heavily on Robert Lewandowski so under 2.5 goals at 4/6 looks like a viable bet. Lewandowski is 6/5 anytime to score with Isak 12/5 in what could be a battle of the two centre-forwards.
Spain have had plenty of the ball in this competition with by far the highest rate of possession out of all the 24 teams however their brand of football has frustrated some. Despite this there has been plenty of opportunities for Morata and Moreno to win those games so Luis Enrique will be hoping that both players have those misses out of their system.
Slovakia could have sealed their qualification through to the next round and repeat their Euro 2016 performance but were poor in a drab 1-0 loss to Sweden. They’ll be hoping they can at least get a point in Seville which would mean a place for each side in the last 16.
Spain are 2/11 with the bookies with Slovakia underdogs at 16/1. La Roja are still tipped to qualify from Group E at 1/10 with the Slovaks 9/4 but a point is all they need to achieve this. Now Morata is off the mark he is 4/5 anytime to score with Moreno not far behind at 5/6.
Odds and Euros tips via bettingexpert.com.