General election: YouGov predicts all Sheffield seats will go to Labour as part of “landslide” victory

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All six Sheffield Parliamentary seats are predicted to be won by Labour in a general election which polling organisation YouGov says could be a “landslide”.

A new YouGov MRP model today (June 3) shows that Labour would retain the five city constituencies it currently holds and that Labour would take Penistone and Stocksbridge from the Conservatives. Marie Tidball is contesting the seat for Labour against Conservative Miriam Cates, who won it from LibDem Angela Smith in 2019.

YouGov’s MRP modelling looks at data on voting to show what would happen if a general election were to be held today. Its first MRP for the July 4 general election called last month by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak shows Keir Starmer’s party would win a historic majority of 194 seats, bigger than Tony Blair’s achievement in 1997.

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Conservative MP Miriam Cates, seen here speaking in a House of Commons debate, will lose her Penistone and Stocksbridge seat at the July 4 general election in a Labour landslide, predict polling organisation YouGovConservative MP Miriam Cates, seen here speaking in a House of Commons debate, will lose her Penistone and Stocksbridge seat at the July 4 general election in a Labour landslide, predict polling organisation YouGov
Conservative MP Miriam Cates, seen here speaking in a House of Commons debate, will lose her Penistone and Stocksbridge seat at the July 4 general election in a Labour landslide, predict polling organisation YouGov

YouGov, which bases its model on almost 60,000 UK respondents’ voting intentions, says: “It would in fact be the second largest majority in British political history after Stanley Baldwin’s figure of 210 in 1924.”

If repeated on July 4, the result would see Labour with 422 seats, the Conservatives reduced to 142 seats, Lib Dems up 37 to 48 seats, SNP reduced from 31 to 17, Plaid Cymru down two to two MPs and the Green Party up from one to two seats.

YouGov says: “The model suggests that the Conservatives could be set for near wipe-out across many areas of the country, including London, the North East, the North West, and Wales. It also projects that the Scottish National Party would lose more than half their seats, with Labour returning as the largest party north of the border.”