How likely are you to die due to coronavirus? Online tool lets you calculate risk

Scientists in the UK created the interactive risk calculator after studying the health records of more than 3.8 million people aged 30 or above.

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People can input their details to work out how much more likely they are to die in the next year due to the COVID-19 pandemic than they would otherwise have been.

The results show how many more people with similar characteristics are expected to die based on different scenarios, from ‘full suppression’ to a ‘do-nothing’ approach.

The tool was developed by researchers from University College London, UCL Hospitals NHS Trust, the University of Cambridge and Health Data Research U.K to help people see how at risk they are and to guide policy makers responding to the pandemic.

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They estimated that more than 20 per cent of those studied were in the high-risk category – either due to being over 70 or having at least one underlying health condition.

For women aged 30-35 with no underlying health conditions, they said they would expect around 1,685 out of nearly 4.8 million people to die each year before coronavirus, with an additional 674 deaths likely due to COVID-19 based on a ‘do-nothing’ approach.

For men aged 70-75 with cardiovascular disease, around 7.1 per cent would normally be expected to die each year, with that figure rising to 10 per cent with a ‘do nothing’ approach to coronavirus.

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The online risk calculator is available to use at: http://covid19-phenomics.org/PrototypeOurRiskCoV.html.