Data experts predict Sheffield United, Burnley promotion margin as Middlesbrough, West Brom, Millwall feature in promotion shake-up - in pictures

The two pacesetters moved 11 and 16 points clear of third place respectively after weekend victories, the Blades seeing off Stoke City despite a rather underwhelming performance in parts and Burnley continuing their march towards an instant Premier League return by beating Coventry.

Both sides have hugely better goal differences than third-placed Watford, essentially extending their leads by a further point – but Hornets boss Slaven Bilic warned both sides earlier this week that the promotion race is not over just yet.

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There will be plenty more twists and turns to come in a division as competitive as it is unpredictable – and the data boffins at FiveThirtyEight have applied their detailed statistical model to the Championship in a bid to determine how the final table will look come May, giving each side a percentage chance of relegation or promotion.

Here's how, in reverse order, they believe the Championship table will finish come the end of the season. But will it play out that way?