Alan Biggs: Sheffield Wednesday carry perpetual handicap of over-reaction to single results

Owls boss Carlos Carvalhal
Owls boss Carlos Carvalhal
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Not a predicted sequence by any means. Just an imaginary set of results from Sheffield Wednesday’s next four games.

Bolton away: Defeat (shock, horror). Derby away: Draw. Barnsley home: Win. Millwall home: Win.

Net return seven points. Not brilliant but not bad.

Perhaps a point or two away from being in the “I’ll take that now category” but definitely keeping the Owls in the chase for a top six place.

It might, of course, be achieved the other way around with, say, an expected win at Bolton and an unexpected home defeat to Millwall.

The point is about the folly - and we are all guilty here - of overreacting to one single result.

That is the perpetual handicap Carlos Carvalhal and his players are carrying in this attempted third successive promotion push – mainly because of that old saying of familiarity breeding contempt.

Reactions have been off the scale, one way or the other.

The truth is that Wednesday are neither as bad as they were in the Steel City derby nor as superlatively good as seemed to be the case at some stages of their 3-0 win over Leeds.

However, they are surely closer to the second than the first and, in correctly being asked to hit that standard on a regular basis, judgments can only be made over a period, not on a match-to-match basis.

So these next four games, as a group, should provide a rough idea of where Wednesday are heading.

Certainly, anything below the seven points suggested above will give recurring cause for concern, albeit not writing off the season as a whole.

Anything more and the mood will be set fair – ideally without the Owls having to survive another reaction storm by dipping at bottom-of-the-table Bolton.

If I was a Wednesday fan, this is a fixture that would worry me, hence the need to count to ten if necessary and to consider these next games as a group.

They are all distinctly winnable.

Bolton, I think, is potentially the trickiest.

A team on a wretched run, perhaps spurred into beating the odds after a fortnight’s break, playing direct football and spearheaded by a guy some may have heard of in Gary Madine.

It’s not to be feared in that the Owls should play their own brand of football with the same urgency – the key word – they displayed against Leeds United and impose themselves on opponents they can demoralise if they do. Nor would I make excuses in advance.

Having shown their true capabilities, Carvalhal’s team should be expected to maintain them.

Leeds was different as a huge game in itself; a potential watershed as I still feel the reaction from losing again could have forced consequences.

But Bolton is one more 90 minutes in a long season that we can again anticipate going to the wire.

What does seem certain – and correctly in my view – is that the club’s owner won’t be viewing it as anything more or anything less.